What is "inevitability"?

Inevitability and Contingency of Exchange —— Critical Point and Value Rate

Quotes generate signals, not signals generate quotations. After the stock market price rises and falls, it will inevitably leave many "traces" on the disk. Afterwards, you can find many "best trading points" in the form and index. The mode of stock price operation is either up or down. In the process of transforming the mid-line bull market into the short-term market, if the short-term moving average originally at the top wants to reach the bottom of the moving average arrangement system, there will inevitably be various intersections and entanglements in the middle. This is a necessary condition for changing the market, but it is not a sufficient and necessary condition. Just like your mother is a woman, it is inevitable, but all women are not necessarily your mother. Being your mother is caused by many accidental factors. The change inventory discovered by methods such as morphology and index will appear many times in other occasions, even after several "false signals", the real change signal will appear. Bankers use the power of funds and chips to regulate the disk signal. When retail investors are accustomed to the "false signals" sent by the bookmakers and are insensitive, it is time to change the offer.

One of the characteristics of modern business activities is careful planning. Bankers master the habits, hobbies and "activity rules" of retail investors before they begin to implement Zhuang Zhuang's project planning. The whole process should be kept strictly confidential, and the planning stage should be kept confidential to prevent other institutions from following the footsteps of Zhuang; In the implementation stage, it should also be kept confidential, and the rhythm of operation, the amplitude of opening positions and the timing of lifting shipments should also be watertight, so that retail investors cannot know the real thoughts of traders; After the success of the village, we must keep our mouths shut in order to avoid supervision. You can have fun with money. Who has seen people who have done "big cases" brag about themselves everywhere? Only lovely retail investors will write profits and losses on their faces. The "banker's news" and "gossip" in the general market are not true, and some of them are even the air deliberately released by the banker in order to find out the "bottom card" of the market. Stock trading is like playing cards. First of all, you should ensure that your cards are not exposed, and then try to find out your opponent's cards, observe the law of the other side's touching cards and make sure they are not far away. Inevitability can only be expressed through accidental events, and there is inevitability in accidents. Necessity lies in contingency, and I believe everyone knows dialectics by heart. It is very useful to apply this pair of philosophical categories to the stock market and villages. If it is inevitable for the dealer to change the offer, then when and how to change the offer is entirely accidental, and the plan carefully planned by the dealer will eventually be disrupted by many accidents. Just as women can calculate the "expected date of delivery" at the beginning of pregnancy, there are many factors that make it impossible for children to be born at the expected date, sooner or later. Some methods accurately calculate the date and price of market reversal within the range of 1 day and 0. 1 yuan, but I think some of them are desperate. You must know that the bookmakers who have settled in may quit the village for various reasons! The plan to build a village may be aborted, and it is very unwise for investors to judge all kinds of "technologies" with their heads too much, especially for highly educated intellectuals, who are used to studying the stock market by studying natural science and must make everything clear before entering the market. When you learn a certain technology and resolutely put it into practice, you expose your cards and operating rules to your opponent-the dealer. When the banker chooses to change the market, it is usually when he has mastered the details of the retail investors and secured most of the funds of the retail investors. Otherwise, no matter how hard he tries to calculate the changing market, it will not appear. I even suspect that some technical analysis methods are the banker's "trick" to spy on retail investors. Bankers are in the dark and retail investors are in the light. How can retail investors not lose money?

A good trading point is not necessarily a critical point. There will always be some good buying and selling points when a market is full of twists and turns, but most of them are static trading points discovered after the market, and the psychological factors of investors are of little practical significance. If retail investors are not fooled by bookmakers, the buying and selling points will be very obvious. However, if retail investors are chased or chased out, these trading points will become bait to lure retail investors into more or less attractive traps. At this time, public opinion will also play word games with you, "support becomes resistance, and resistance becomes support." The most interesting thing is that after predicting a wave of rising sentiment failed, some people said, "... the market has come out of the five waves of failure." This funny remark is nothing more than saying that the market has fallen, but it needs to be covered up with an inexplicable remark and put the blame on Eliot, a wave theorist who has died for many years.

However, the critical point is different. Critical point means that the market is likely to be one-sided. There are usually not many opportunities. There is a good chance of winning by betting at this time. Here, the critical point is like the expected date of delivery of a woman. If there is no accident, the possibility of safe "production" will be very great, and it is worth gambling. The value for money (referring to the high ratio of income to risk) is very high.

Stock trading is a process of "buying cheap and selling expensive". The process of making a fortune is the process of changing hands of funds and chips. In the fund-raising stage, the dealer exchanges funds for chips, and in the process of high-level shipment, the dealer exchanges chips for funds. Due to factors such as market environment and capital cost, the space and time for bookmakers to exist in the stock market are limited to some extent. If the banker wants to make money, he has to enter the market. If he wants to cash in, he has to enter the market. One in and one out constitute the starting point and end point of the dealer's operation. At these two extreme positions, the dealer has only one direction to operate. Although it is hidden, the actions of "fake selling and real buying" or "fake buying and real selling" at the starting point and the end point are clear at a glance. However, in the process of opening positions and boosting the market, there are too many "fake actions", and investors do not need to make it clear. The more you watch, the more temptations you get and the more mistakes you make.