First of all, the number of participants is an important factor. If the number of participants is small, the probability of winning the prize will be higher; On the other hand, if there are more participants, the competition for winning the prize will be more intense and the probability will be relatively low.
Secondly, the individual's calligraphy level is also the key factor to determine the probability of winning the prize. If the individual's calligraphy level and artistic expression ability are high, then the probability of winning the prize will be higher.
In addition, the professional level and subjective judgment of the judges will also have an impact on the probability of winning the prize. Different judges may have different aesthetics and preferences for calligraphy, which will also affect the probability of winning the prize.